Trend Intersection
Individual trends are interesting, but their intersections reveal billion-dollar opportunities. This exercise systematically combines 2-3 major trends. It uncovers possibilities at their convergence—opportunities missed when examining trends in isolation. Over 2.5 hours, teams identify trends, map their intersections, and explore what emerges: new customer needs, business models, threats, or innovations. It's analytical (understanding trends), creative (imagining intersections), and strategic (identifying where to play). This works well when facing multiple simultaneous changes. It's powerful during strategic planning, innovation portfolio development, or entering new markets. This reveals opportunities competitors miss. Be warned: this exercise generates many opportunities. Focus is key. Expect energy identifying trends and excitement exploring intersections. The 150-minute duration allows depth on 3-4 major intersections. You'll know it's working when teams say, "If you combine those two trends, customers will need..." or "None of our competitors are positioned for this intersection."
Explore intersections between trend pairs or triads, generating 15-25 opportunities.
Evaluate opportunities based on strategic fit, timing, and competitive positioning to identify 3-5 focus areas.
Develop exploration plans for top intersections, defining validation steps and positioning.
Identified innovation spaces at trend collisions.
Fresh perspectives on market evolution.
- Practice intersection thinking yourself. You'll discover which combinations produce possibilities.
- Curate trend stimulus carefully. The trends you seed shape intersections. Ensure a mix of trends and stages. Avoid trends only from competitors.
- Clarify strategic intent with the sponsor. Is this for innovation, planning, threats, or M&A? This shapes evaluation and prioritization.
During Facilitation:
- Push for trend specificity early. Generic trends produce generic intersections. Specific trends produce actionable intersections.
- Coach intersection identification actively. Good intersections have: (1) something new, (2) good timing, (3) customer value. Push back on weak intersections.
- Manage deep dive depth carefully. The right depth is concrete enough to assess strategic value, but exploratory. If they're struggling, help them focus. If they're building models, pull them back.
- Use presentation time for strategic synthesis. Ask: "How does this connect to what the previous team found?" Capture themes.
- Prevent enthusiasm from overwhelming evaluation. Be the voice of reality during prioritization.
Warning Signs:
- All intersections feel similar: Teams aren't thinking diversely. Expand the trend set.
- Intersections are just trend lists: They don't explain convergence. Intervene and ask what specifically emerges.
- Deep dives stay at high altitude: Push teams toward specific use cases, products, and competitors.
- Everything rates as high priority: Remind teams that you can't do everything. Force prioritization.
- No action owners emerge: Don't let people leave without clear ownership.
Success Indicators:
- Diverse trend set: Spans technology, market, social, regulatory, and economic categories.
- Intersections that surprise the room: They should feel non-obvious.
- Concrete opportunity articulation: The best deep dives make intersections tangible.
- Strategic clarity emerges: The insights inform strategy.
- Commitment to exploration: People leave with clear ownership.
After the Session:
- Document the intersection map within 24 hours. This becomes your reference.
- Socialize findings broadly within 1 week. Frame as: "Here are the forces we should be positioning for."
- Establish ownership and exploration plans within 2 weeks. Convert intersections into work streams.
- Refresh the intersection map quarterly or semi-annually. Keep the map current.
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